Monday, December 03, 2018

An incomplete horror story

I submitted this short story for a competition and got a prize for it. Unfortunately, I cannot get hold of the entire story now

In the summer of 1992, I had to spend a considerable time in the jungles of Central India, working as an auditor for Indian Railways. Life was hard, but the pay compensated for it. For many a weeks I slogged in dilapidated Dak bungalows, miles away from civilisation. I would have continued with this rather dreary, albeit financially rewarding life, had fate not landed me in Meedhapur.
The place was said to have a dark past, which is probably why few people volunteered despite the lucrative allowance. I was considered brave for accepting the offer, and the supervising officer sent me a note that said, 'Do not step outside after dark!'. I smiled at the joke.

The next day, Babulal, the guesthouse attendant, an old and irritable fellow, picked me up from Raipur. He was visibly perturbed by my frequent stops on the way, as I stepped down to photograph the flora and fauna. During the last leg of the journey, he drove rather rashly, occasionally glancing at the west. He hardly replied to my casual chitchat, and while I had taken a strong dislike to the fellow, his focus on the road was commendable. It was almost as if his life depended on it.

It was nearly sundown by the time we reached the guesthouse. It was a two storied building, with a visage that was distinctly British. The place was doubtlessly falling apart, but still held some of its old majesty. One part of the building looked onto the garden that had been run over by weeds, and the other overlooked the jungle. It was evident that wild beasts frequently showed up, for the perimeter was secured by six-feet of barbed wire. I would have taken a walk around, but Babulal almost pushed me into the verandah. I gave him a stern look, and he apologised profusely, attributing the accident to his old age and wobbly knees. As he opened the door, Babulal got extremely animated, switching on the lights and pulling down the curtains. Minutes later, he was a completely different man, hospitable to the core, and unnervingly garrulous. I asked him to shift my luggage upstairs, where the rooms were much larger and airier. While Babulal was visibly perturbed by this decision, I was ferociously adamant, and he had to give in. Our relationship had started on a sour note, but the man had prepared refreshments in advance, which were duly presented to me. As it was getting late, Babulal wanted to serve the food before retiring. I worked late into the night, as sleep was hard to come by. The heat was stifling, and I perspired profusely. To make matters worse, the place seemed to be infested with rats that ran up the walls. As I looked outside, could see the trees swaying on the opposite hill, promising a pleasant summer breeze. I thought it wise to open the window that overlooked the jungle.

Switching off the light, I threw the panes ajar, and peered into the valley below. As my eyes got accustomed to the dark, I could see a faint light flickering in the jungle. A faint sound reached my ears, and as I began to comprehend it, a chill ran down my spine. It was the sound of neither bird nor beast, but a very human cry that wavered but never stopped.
The next day I woke up late. Babulal...

Friday, September 14, 2018

A few good men

Everyone loves to criticise IAS officers so let me try that a few extraordinary ones get their due.

Surendra Singh - son of a poor farmer, topped UPSC from UP. Known as an upright officer, was in Bhaodhi earlier. When he was transferred, people placed him on a chariot and took a procession for 10km. Now DM of Varanasi.

Vijay Kiran Anand - extraordinary person. Check his Youtube videos where he is communicating with people, visiting Varanasi streets on a bike, surprise visits to hospitals etc. Even has a fan club. Hanpicked by Modi, was the ex-DM of Varanasi. Transferred by Akhilesh after temple stampede. People protested and ran a campaign to stop the transfer but was still shifted to Eta. Was earlier transferred by Akhilesh from Shahjahanpur allegedly because he wanted to take action against Nagar Palika Chairman Tanveer Khan for corruption. Made the Mission Director (Rural) of Swachh Bharat Mission after Govt changed.
Durga Shakti Nagpal - suspended for taking action against illegal sand mining. Later, her husband was also suspended. Now OSD to the Agriculture Minister of India.

Ashok Khemka - everyone knows him. Is now Haryana's principal secretary with the Sports and Youth Affairs ministry, designing programs to help sportspeople and help Haryana win even more medals.

Notably, you can get an idea about how good a political dispensation is by observing how it treats honest civil servants.

Sunday, September 09, 2018

Happy Birthday Dennis Ritchie

Although a day late, a very happy birthday to Dennis Ritchie, the man who created C and UNIX. Amazing that one can can do so much. Surprisingly, Ritchie never got the kind of fame that Bill Gates and Steve Jobs did, perhaps because he did not build a fortune out of his creations. Also, his book "The C Programming Language" is exceptionally well written and easy to understand, even though I expected a man like him to communicate at a level way above normal mortals (Indians will still love Kanitkar's "Let us C" though).

The idiocy of Indian media - one of many parts

I was travelling on a plane some time back, and a Co-passenger told me why petrol prices should be half of what they are. I explained how state taxes eventually help in plugging deficits (which are still vulnerable), how you need precious forex reserves to buy crude, and also we don't subsidise petrol anymore. Then he responded, "but petrol is selling at Re 1 in Venezuela". I closed my eyes and went to sleep. Now I realised its media who is responsible for this idiocy.
Matlab people stand in a miles long queue to get a loaf of bread, millions have fled the country, currency is worthless, inflation at 100000%, power plants exploding, but Indian media- Arey petrol 1 rupya liter mil raha hai.




Thursday, May 24, 2018

The current surge in oil prices is most likely a dead cat bounce

This is an interesting chart. Oil demand growth has actually remained fairly stagnant over the past few years, but it is the steep fall in production that has driven the recent surge in crude prices. Now I am not an oil & gas analyst, but to me the production cuts do not seem sustainable. The Permian basin is a big reason for that. There was a time when a major concern for the industry was that new oil finds were mostly situated in regions with high geopolitical risk. Then the Permian basin happened. The industry found oil, billions of barrels of it, right in the heart of the US. 

Just how much oil does the Permian basin produce? About 3.2mn barrels per day (bpd). To give some perspective, the whole of Iran produces 3.8mn bpd, and Kuwait produces 2.8mn. If the Permian was part of OPEC, it would be the fourth-largest OPEC member. Now, production at Permian will only go up with technological breakthroughs - to about 4mn by 2023. Pipeline capacity is a constraint now, but that is an easy problem to solve. Studies show that the Permian might have more than 50 years of oil reserves at current rates of production. Plenty of reason for E&P companies to keep investing.


Now, with every passing year of high crude prices, people the world over will start thinking even more seriously about renewables. Some renewables, like solar, become increasingly viable with technology developments. There might be more threats on the horizon, including electric vehicles. So, a question that might come to E&P companies' mind is: how long should I hold onto my oil? What if the $70+ prices force people to look for alternatives? What if I do not get anything meaningful at all for the reserves that are left over after 20 years, because the world has shifted to a new fuel resource? In such a scenario, with so much oil in their kitty, will the O&G companies keep production levels drastically low, for years to come? Views welcome #oil #Permian